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India’s total sugar production for the season 2026-27 starting October is likely to rise by 12 per cent to around 33.6 million tonnes, over current year’s 30 million tonnes, on higher cane production aided by healthy crop conditions and improved recovery, according to the local office of the US Department of Agriculture (USDA).
The FAS New Delhi said the forecast of 33.6 million tonnes on a raw value basis, comprising of 31.4 million tonnes of crystal sugar and 62,000 tonnes of khandari, is grounded in field survey observations conducted in March 2026 across Maharashtra’s primary sugar cane growing districts, that documented healthy crop stands and favourable growing conditions.
The projected 12 percent production increase is attributable to two consecutive years of favourable monsoons that restored groundwater levels and surface water availability in major producing regions. This directly addresses sugarcane’s intensive water requirements — the primary constraint on cultivation and yield.