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According to FAS USDA, Colombia’s sugar production in MY 2026/2027 (October – September) is expected to recover modestly to 2.4 million tonnes, supported by improved agroclimatic conditions following the weakening of La Niña and the increasing probability of El Niño conditions during the second half of 2026.
Drier conditions and higher solar radiation in the Cauca River Valley are expected to improve sucrose accumulation and industrial recovery relative to the previous cycle.
Production in MY 2025/2026 is estimated at 2.3 million tonnes, reflecting the start of normalization after two years of weather-related variability that affected sucrose content and recovery rates.
Although cane volumes increased during calendar year 2025, excessive rainfall associated with La Niña conditions reduced sucrose concentration and commercial recovery efficiency, limiting gains in sugar output.